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Waratahs v Reds Super Rugby preview

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Article Published: Thursday 23 February 2012|

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The second match in Super Rugby on Saturday is arguably the big one in Australian Rugby as it between Rugby Union's version of the State of Origin - the Waratahs vs the Reds.

New South Wales and Queensland have a fierce rivalry and there is no love lost when these two teams meet.

Waratahs winger Drew Mitchell will miss this week's match and possibly the next month of rugby after he was originally injured playing for the New South Wales Waratahs against the Queensland Reds - a rugby union style state of origin match.

The Waratahs preparations for this week were disrupted by an injury to playmaker Berrick Barnes and he was replaced by Daniel Halangahu who was also made captain for the match. Rocky Elsom is missing

The Reds have named Mike Harris as replacement for Quade Cooper in a team that has5 players from last year's historic Super Rugby Final squad along with 10 capped Wallabies from 2011.

Interestingly Radike Samo has been dropped to the bench and could come on as an impact player.

In the player vs player battles one particular match up is that of Will Genia and Sarel Pretorius who were arguably the top two number nines in last year's tournament.

In Super Rugby history the Waratahs and Reds have played each other 17 times the Waratahs have won just 7 times and lost 9 times (1 draw).

However looking closely at where those results came reveals an interesting trend. Every one of those seven wins came in the last eight matches so when the teams met last year in April the Reds won and ended a 7 match losing streak.

When these teams play each other the average score is Waratahs 19 Reds 20 but in Sydney it's Waratahs 21 Reds 19.

the The Bookies have scratched the odds on this match and predicted a draw - you can bet 10 and Get 20 on a result. We are not taking the easy route and we are going to back the Reds on this one as they appear to have had less disruptions than the Waratahs. We think the Reds should win by one point.

This match will be shown on TV NZ, Aus, SA and in the UK on Sky Sports 4HD.

Average Score : Waratahs 19 Reds 20

Last five results
23 Apr 2011 Waratahs v Reds 15-19 Brisbane
26 Feb 2011 Waratahs v Reds 30-6 Sydney
13 Feb 2010 Waratahs v Reds 30-28 Brisbane
06 Mar 2009 Waratahs v Reds 15-11 Sydney
17 May 2008 Waratahs v Reds 18-11 Brisbane

Waratahs overall record against the Reds
Played 17, Wins 7 , Losses 9 , Draws 1

Match : 5
Date : Saturday 25 February
Teams : Waratahs v Reds
Venue : Sydney
Time KO (local) :19:40
Referee: Jaco Peyper
AR1: :Ian Smith
AR2 : Angus Gardner
TMO :George Ayoub

Teams

Waratahs

15. Adam Ashley-Cooper ,14. Tom Kingston ,13. Rob Horne ,12. Tom Carter ,11. Brackin Karauria-Henry ,10. Daniel Halangahu (C), 9. Sarel Pretorius ,8. Wycliff Palu ,7. Chris Alcock ,6. Dave Dennis ,5. Dean Mumm ,4. Kane Douglas ,3. Sekope Kepu , 2. Tatafu Polota-Nau ,1. Benn Robinson (VC)

Replacements:16. Damien Fitzpatrick ,17. Paddy Ryan ,18. Lopeti Timani ,19. Jono Jenkins ,20. Brendan McKibbin ,21. Bernard Foley ,22. Nathan Trist

Reds

1. Ben Daley , 2. James Hanson , 3. James Slipper , 4. Rob Simmons , 5. James Horwill (c) , 6. Scott Higginbotham , 7. Beau Robinson , 8. Jake Schatz , 9. Will Genia (vc) , 10. Mike Harris , 11. Digby Ioane , 12. Ben Tapuai , 13. Anthony Faingaa , 14. Dom Shipperley , 15. Luke Morahan

Replacements : 16. Albert Anae , 17. Greg Holmes , 18. Van Humphries , 19. Liam Gill , 20. Radike Samo , 21. Ben Lucas , 22. Jono Lance , 23rd man - Chris F'Sautia

 
 
 
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